Crazy Numbers

gartner136.gifYesterday, Gartner released their projections on mobile application stores. They say there were 2.5 billion downloads in 2009 and there will be 4.5 billion this year and 21 billion in 2013. Remember, these are only forecasts. Even as a mobile developer, I find 21 billion very hard to believe. This seems high to me. Meanwhile, Haydn on the Symbian blogs thinks this value is too low.

"I took part in an exercise recently to estimate the potential scale of the enterprise apps market over a similar timeframe. The figure was roughly double the Gartner estimate for consumer apps."

Clearly, noone really knows how many downloads there will be. What we do know is that it will be a lot more than today!

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